Title race12m ago
City's machine quietly closing in
Game in hand pushes effective title probability to 44%. Underlying xG (+5.0 vs Arsenal) suggests the gap is bigger than the table shows.
+6% title probTape
67'ARS2–0WHU|54'MCI1–1CHE|FTLIV3–1BHA|TOTFri 12:00 AMNEW|AVLFri 12:00 AMFUL|BOUSat 12:00 AMEVE|MUNSat 12:00 AMNFO|WOLSun 12:00 AMLEI|67'ARS2–0WHU|54'MCI1–1CHE|FTLIV3–1BHA|TOTFri 12:00 AMNEW|AVLFri 12:00 AMFUL|BOUSat 12:00 AMEVE|MUNSat 12:00 AMNFO|WOLSun 12:00 AMLEI|
2025/26 · Matchday 18Live
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Premier League · top of book
2025/26 · MD 18
| # | Club | P | GD | xPts | Pts | Form | Title % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |  Arsenal | 18 | +24 | 40.1 | 42 | WWDWW | 38% |
| 02 |  Manchester City | 17 | +23 | 41.6 | 40 | WWDWW | 44% |
| 03 |  Liverpool | 18 | +17 | 36.9 | 38 | WDWWD | 13% |
| 04 |  Chelsea | 18 | +11 | 32.4 | 34 | WLWDW | 4% |
| 05 |  Aston Villa | 18 | +7 | 31.0 | 32 | WWDWL | 2% |
Research desk
Latest insights
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Manager37m ago
Tottenham wobble accelerates
Three losses in five, defensive xGA worst in top half. Pressure rating now 84/100. Boardroom patience reportedly thin.
Pressure +14Surprise1h ago
Bournemouth: most efficient attack south of top 4
Squad value tier 17, attacking output tier 7. Iraola's pressing is converting low-cost talent into top-half production.
Health +4Relegation2h ago
Southampton survival window narrowing fast
Relegation probability hits 88%. Goal difference of -22 is bottom of the league, and the next 5 fixtures average difficulty 7.4/10.
+9% relegationCapabilitiesThe terminal,
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